Daily Brief

Tarek Mansour calls himself a paranoid risk manager - the guy who can list 20 ways a hot air balloon will go down before it leaves the ground. Then he bet his entire company on suing its own regulator. Kalshi spent years walking through the desert. The CFTC pocket-vetoed its election markets ahead of the 2022 midterms, people left, and the company took a layoff while the government piled on audits and enforcement actions. Death by a thousand paper cuts. Instead of pivoting, Tarek and co-founder Luana Lopes Lara sued the federal government against the guidance of nearly all their investors and

Every company has one leak the founder can't hand off. Tarek Mansour explains why most CEOs throw a rug over theirs — and why Kalshi's is proving what separates regulated prediction markets from the offshore players. #shorts #ceo #entrepreneur

OpenAI's Dev Day 2024 demo ran on an o1 preview model that could not run or check its own code, so Romain Huet had to cross his fingers live on stage. A year later, the same kind of demo ran a full camera and lighting rig, because the model could now test its own work. Alexander Embiricos and Huet use that jump to show how fast Codex is moving: new model releases went from every 15 months to about every 6 weeks. They walk through why Codex is built on the same responses API, open source harness, and AGENTS md file format that ships to every developer, plus new numbers on cost and speed: front

Conventional wisdom says continuous disagreement is an anti-pattern. Kalshi's co-CEOs made always taking the opposite side a system — the balance a company walking the regulatory tightrope needs.

"How much better do the models have to get before you'll stop reading the code?" Theo asked that question recently and the replies caught fire. Mitchell Hashimoto is calling it agent psychosis. ThePrimeagen's subreddit is in open revolt about people shipping code they never read. Uncle Bob says we have about a year left of looking at code at all. Alex Volkov saw this argument coming three months ago, and gave it a name. At AI Engineer Europe, OpenAI's Ryan Lopopolo opened the conference by saying "code is free." His team shipped over 1,000,000 lines with zero human review. Mario Zechner clos

chatting with our friend Matt!